Adrian Farner Rogne

• Thomas, Michael; Syse, Astri; Rogne, Adrian Farner & Gleditsch, Rebecca (2022). Assessing the Accuracy of National Population Projections: A Case Study of Norway. Finnish Yearbook of Population Research. 56, p. 31–64. doi: 10.23979/fypr.109057. Full text in Research Archive Show summary

  Few producers of official population projections provide regular evaluations of past projection inaccuracies. This paper assesses deviations between the projected and registered total population for Norway (1996–2018), as well as deviations in the age structure, total fertility rate and number of births, period life expectancy at birth and number of deaths, and net international migration. Projected life expectancy was consistently lower than the real development. Few systematic deviations were observed for fertility up to 2009, but thereafter fertility has been consistently overprojected. However, the deviations between projected and realised trends in births and deaths have been relatively small as compared to those for net international migration. The projections produced between 1996–2005 underestimated long-term population growth due primarily to the unforeseen increase in immigration following EU expansion in 2004. More recent projections contain no consistent under- or overprojection of net migration and the deviations for the total population have been moderate.

• Stonawski, Marcin Jan; Rogne, Adrian Farner; Christiansen, Henning; Bang, Henrik & Lyngstad, Torkild Hovde (2021). Ethnic segregation and native out-migration in Copenhagen. European Urban and Regional Studies. doi: 10.1177/09697764211039183. Full text in Research Archive
• Haandrikman, Karen; Costa, Rafael; Malmberg, Bo; Rogne, Adrian Farner & Sleutjes, Bart (2021). Socio-economic segregation in European cities. A comparative study of Brussels, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Oslo and Stockholm. Urban Geography. doi: 10.1080/02723638.2021.1959778. Full text in Research Archive
• Rogne, Adrian Farner & Syse, Astri (2021). Corrigendum to “The Effect of Retirement on Male Mortality. Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Norway”. European Sociological Review. 37(3). doi: 10.1093/esr/jcaa072.
• Rogne, Adrian Farner; Pedersen, Willy & von Soest, Tilmann (2020). Intelligence, alcohol consumption, and adverse consequences. A study of young Norwegian men. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health. 49(4), p. 411–418. doi: 10.1177/1403494820944719. Full text in Research Archive
• Rogne, Adrian Farner; Pedersen, Willy & Bakken, Anders (2019). Immigration and the decline in adolescent binge drinking. Drug and Alcohol Dependence. 203, p. 35–43. doi: 10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2019.05.031. Full text in Research Archive Show summary

  Background Adolescent alcohol consumption has fallen in most Western countries over the past two decades, while immigrants and children of immigrants from low-consumption countries constitute a growing proportion of teenagers in many Western nations. We investigate the extent to which immigrants and children of immigrants have contributed to the decline in adolescent heavy episodic drinking in Oslo, the capital of Norway. Methods We use repeated cross-sectional survey data on adolescents in grades 9-11 in Oslo (aged around 14–16, N = 54,474) from 1996 to 2018. We use data on heavy episodic drinking/intoxication in the past 12 months (dichotomized), immigrant background, sex and grade. We decompose the trend into components attributable to changes in the demographic composition of the adolescent population (by immigrant background, grade and sex), and to changes in drinking patterns within different groups. Confidence intervals (CIs) are obtained by bootstrap resampling. Results The proportion of adolescents with immigrant backgrounds increased from 21% to 35% over the time span. The proportion reporting having been intoxicated fell from 42% to 25%. Most of the decline stems from reduced heavy episodic drinking in the majority population, accounting for 70.8% of the reduction (95% CI: 67.5–74.2). The increased proportion of adolescents with an immigrant background accounts for 21.4% of the decline (95% CI: 19.2–23.8). Conclusions An increasing proportion of immigrants and children of immigrants with low alcohol consumption explains one-fifth of the decline in the prevalence of adolescent heavy episodic drinking in Oslo.

• Rogne, Adrian Farner; Andersson, Eva K.; Malmberg, Bo & Lyngstad, Torkild Hovde (2019). Neighbourhood Concentration and Representation of Non-European migrants: New results from Norway. European Journal of Population. p. 1–13. doi: 10.1007/s10680-019-09522-3. Full text in Research Archive Show summary

  In a previous study, Andersson et al. (A comparative study of segregation patterns in Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden: neighbourhood concentration and representation of non-European migrants. Eur J Popul 34:1–25, 2018) compared the patterns of residential segregation between non-European immigrants and the rest of the population in four European countries, using the k-nearest neighbours approach to compute comparable measures of segregation. This approach relies on detailed geo-coded data and can be used to assess segregation levels at different neighbourhood scales. This paper updates these findings with results from Norway. Using similar data and methods, we document both similarities and striking differences between the segregation patterns in Norway and Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden. While the segregation patterns in Norway at larger scales are roughly comparable to those found in Denmark, but with higher concentrations of non-European immigrants in the most immigrant-dense large-scale neighbourhoods, the micro-level segregation is much lower in Norway than in the other countries. While an important finding by Andersson et al. (2018) was that segregation levels at the micro-scale of 200 nearest neighbours fell within a narrow band, with a dissimilarity index between 0.475 and 0.512 in the four countries under study, segregation levels at this scale are clearly lower in Norway, with a dissimilarity index of 0.429. We discuss possible explanations for these patterns.

• Rogne, Adrian Farner & Syse, Astri (2018). The Effect of Retirement on Male Mortality. Quasi-experimental Evidence from Norway. European Sociological Review. 34(5), p. 501–517. doi: 10.1093/esr/jcy023. Full text in Research Archive Show summary

  On average, people who retire earlier die sooner, partly because poor health is an important reason for early retirement. Several theories also predict that retirement is detrimental to health and increases mortality, and that retirement should affect people in different occupations differently. Yet, there is apparently no consensus about the causal relationship between retirement and mortality. We treat a Norwegian pension reform that lowered retirement eligibility age by 3 years in 1973 as a natural experiment. The reform affected virtually the entire elderly working population. We estimate the long-term effect of retirement age and the short-term effect of retirement eligibility using instrumental variables and difference-in-differences methods. The results show that neither earlier retirement nor retirement eligibility affect male mortality substantially. Analyses by educational level and occupational groups show no occupational or educational differences in the effect of retirement on mortality. We also argue that the 1973 reform serves as a critical case, a situation where we should be able to identify an effect if there were one. In other words, this study provides strong evidence that retirement does not have a causal effect on male mortality.

• Larsen, Edvard Nergård; Rogne, Adrian Farner & Birkelund, Gunn Elisabeth (2018). Perfect for the Job? Overqualification of Immigrants and their Descendants in the Norwegian Labor Market. Social Inclusion. 6(3), p. 78–103. doi: 10.17645/si.v6i3.1451. Full text in Research Archive
• Rogne, Adrian Farner & Syse, Astri (2017). Framtidens eldre i by og bygd. Rapporter fra Statistisk sentralbyrå.

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• Brekke, Jan-Paul; Damsa, Dorina; Evertsen, Kathinka Fossum; Hansen, Vibeke Wøien; Liden, Hilde & Paasche, Erlend [Show all 9 contributors for this article] (2024). Tilrettelegging for integrering av flyktninger i Norge. Organisering, tiltak og erfaringer. Institutt for samfunnsforskning. Full text in Research Archive Show summary

  Hvordan kan norske myndigheter best legge til rette for integrering av flyktninger? De siste årene har norske kommuner måttet finne løsninger som passer til stadig nye grupper flyktninger. Denne studien viser hvor man lykkes godt og hvor det kan være behov for justeringer.

• Dommermuth, Lars; Rogne, Adrian Farner & Syse, Astri (2022). The cash-for-care reform and immigrant fertility. Fewer babies of poorer families? Statistisk sentralbyrå. 2022(993). Full text in Research Archive
• Mikalsen, Maja Feng; Birkelund, Gunn Elisabeth & Rogne, Adrian Farner (2021). Drop-out teachers: Student composition and teacher mobility and attrition in lower secondary schools. Universitetet i Oslo.

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• Rogne, Adrian Farner (2023). Educational expansion reforms and intergenerational educational mobility in Norway. SocArXiv. doi: 10.31235/osf.io/athxq.
• Rogne, Adrian Farner; Knutsen, Tora Kjærnes & Modalsli, Jørgen (2023). A college on every cape: Gender equality, gender segregation and higher educational expansion. SocArXiv. doi: 10.31235/osf.io/xej64. Full text in Research Archive
• Van Hootegem, Arno; Rogne, Adrian Farner & Lyngstad, Torkild Hovde (2023). Heritability of Class: Implications for Theory and Research on Social Mobility. SocArXiv. doi: 10.31235/osf.io/mncet.
• Rogne, Adrian Farner; Hermansen, Are Skeie; Hundebo, Pål Oskar; Wessel, Terje; Lyngstad, Torkild Hovde & Birkelund, Gunn Elisabeth (2022). Finnes det “svenske tilstander” i Norge? Aftenposten (morgenutg. : trykt utg.).
• Dommermuth, Lars; Rogne, Adrian Farner & Syse, Astri (2022). Botidskrav i kontantstøtteordningen ser ikke ut til å ha påvirket fødselstallene blant innvandrere. SSB analyse. 2022(7).
• Rogne, Adrian Farner; Borgen, Solveig Topstad & Nordrum, Erlend Ingridsønn (2021). School Segregation and Native Flight. Evidence from School Catchment Area Borders (https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/xykdg/). SocArXiv. doi: 10.31235/osf.io/xykdg.
• Gleditsch, Rebecca Folkman; Rogne, Adrian Farner; Syse, Astri & Thomas, Michael J. (2021). The accuracy of Statistics Norway’s national population projections. Discussion papers.
• Rogne, Adrian Farner; Pedersen, Willy & Bakken, Anders (2019). Innvandring har gitt mindre ungdomsfyll. Aftenposten (morgenutg. : trykt utg.). p. 37–37.
• Syse, Astri & Rogne, Adrian Farner (2018). Man dør ikke av å pensjonere seg. Dagens næringsliv.
• Lyngstad, Torkild Hovde; Rogne, Adrian Farner; Birkelund, Gunn Elisabeth; Hermansen, Are Skeie & Skardhamar, Torbjørn (2018). Ethnic Neighborhood Segregation and Residential Mobility Dynamics: Evidence from Norwegian administrative registers 1993-2013.
• Larsen, Edvard Nergård; Rogne, Adrian Farner & Birkelund, Gunn Elisabeth (2018). Perfect for the Job? Overqualification of Immigrants and their Descendants in the Norwegian Labor Market.
• Rogne, Adrian Farner (2016). Hvor godt treffer befolkningsframskrivingene? Økonomiske analyser.
• Rogne, Adrian Farner & Tønnessen, Marianne (2014). Hvor godt treffer befolkningsframskrivingene for kommunene? Økonomiske analyser.

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